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Volume Analysis

Elder's Force Index

Overview

Elder's Force Index, developed by Dr Alexander Elder, measures the force behind price movements by combining three essential elements: direction of price change, magnitude of that change, and volume. The raw force index is smoothed with an exponential moving average to create a practical oscillator that identifies trend strength, potential reversals, and the best pullback entries during an established trend.

Key Concepts

The raw force index equals the price change multiplied by volume for each period. A two-period EMA of the force index highlights short-term turning points for entry timing. A thirteen-period EMA of the force index identifies the intermediate trend direction. Positive force index values indicate buyers are in control; negative values indicate seller dominance. Divergence between the force index and price reveals weakening momentum. Spikes in the force index indicate climactic volume events that often precede reversals.

Entry Signals

Enter long when the thirteen-period force index is positive (uptrend) and the two-period force index dips below zero (pullback). Enter short when the thirteen-period force index is negative (downtrend) and the two-period force index rises above zero (pullback). Divergence: price making new highs with a declining force index suggests the rally is weakening. Enter after a force index spike and reversal at a key support or resistance level.

Exit Signals

Exit long positions when the thirteen-period force index turns negative, signalling a trend change. Exit short positions when the thirteen-period force index turns positive. Use the two-period force index crossback through zero as a short-term exit signal. Close positions when a climactic force index spike indicates exhaustion.

Best Timeframes

Daily, Weekly

Pro Tips

The force index is most effective as part of Elder's Triple Screen trading system, where it serves as an entry timer on the intermediate timeframe. Its strength lies in combining direction, magnitude, and volume into a single indicator, providing a more complete measure of market conviction than price-only oscillators. Use the two-period version for entry timing and the thirteen-period version for trend identification.

More Topics in This Category

On-Balance Volume (OBV)

On-Balance Volume is a cumulative volume indicator that adds volume on up days and subtracts it on down days, creating a running total that reveals whether volume is flowing into or out of an asset. Developed by Joe Granville, OBV often leads price — a rising OBV during a consolidation suggests accumulation, while a falling OBV during a hold signals distribution. The direction of OBV matters more than its absolute value.

Accumulation/Distribution Line

The Accumulation/Distribution Line measures the cumulative flow of money into and out of an asset by examining where price closes within its range relative to volume. Unlike OBV, which only considers whether the close is up or down, the A/D Line weights volume by the close's position within the bar's range, giving a more nuanced picture of buying and selling pressure.

Anchored VWAP

Anchored VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price) allows traders to calculate the average price weighted by volume from any specific point in time, such as a major high, low, earnings event, or market open. Unlike the standard session VWAP that resets daily, anchored VWAP persists from the chosen anchor point, revealing the average cost basis of all participants who traded since that event and creating dynamic support and resistance levels.

Money Flow Index (MFI)

The Money Flow Index is a volume-weighted RSI that measures buying and selling pressure by incorporating both price and volume data. It oscillates between 0 and 100, with readings above 80 considered overbought and below 20 considered oversold. Because it includes volume, MFI often provides earlier reversal signals than standard RSI, making it particularly effective for identifying exhaustion moves.