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Pricing Models

Mayer Multiple

What Is Mayer Multiple?

The ratio of Bitcoin's price to its 200-day moving average. Created by Trace Mayer. A simple but effective measure of whether Bitcoin is overextended or undervalued relative to its longer-term trend.

How to Interpret

Mayer Multiple > 2.4 has historically indicated unsustainable growth and potential tops. Below 0.8 historically signals deep value and accumulation opportunities.

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More Pricing Models Metrics

Realised Price

The aggregate cost basis of all Bitcoin in circulation, calculated by dividing the Realised Cap by the total supply. Each UTXO is valued at the price it was last moved. This creates an on-chain average purchase price for the entire network.

Inflation Adjusted Price

Bitcoin's price adjusted for monetary inflation (M2 money supply growth). Shows Bitcoin's real purchasing power value over time by removing the effects of currency debasement.

Euphoria Zone

A composite indicator combining multiple pricing models to identify when Bitcoin has entered an unsustainably euphoric phase. Triggers when multiple independent models simultaneously signal overvaluation.

NUPL

Net Unrealised Profit/Loss — measures the total profit or loss of all Bitcoin holders as a proportion of market cap. Calculated as (Market Cap - Realised Cap) / Market Cap.

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