Power Law
What Is Power Law?
A mathematical model that plots Bitcoin's price on a logarithmic scale over time, creating a corridor of expected prices. Based on the observation that Bitcoin's price follows a power law relationship with time.
How to Interpret
Price at the top of the power law band suggests overvaluation; price near the bottom suggests undervaluation. The model suggests diminishing returns over successive cycles.
More Pricing Models Metrics
Euphoria Zone
A composite indicator combining multiple pricing models to identify when Bitcoin has entered an unsustainably euphoric phase. Triggers when multiple independent models simultaneously signal overvaluation.
MVRV Ratio
Market Value to Realised Value — the ratio between Bitcoin's market cap and its realised cap. Measures whether Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued relative to the aggregate cost basis of all holders.
NUPL
Net Unrealised Profit/Loss — measures the total profit or loss of all Bitcoin holders as a proportion of market cap. Calculated as (Market Cap - Realised Cap) / Market Cap.
AVIV Ratio
Active Value to Investor Value — a refined version of MVRV that adjusts for active supply and investor behavior. Provides a cleaner signal of market valuation by filtering out dormant and lost coins.