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Pricing Models

MVRV Ratio

What Is MVRV Ratio?

Market Value to Realised Value — the ratio between Bitcoin's market cap and its realised cap. Measures whether Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued relative to the aggregate cost basis of all holders.

How to Interpret

MVRV > 3.0 historically signals overheated, euphoric conditions and potential cycle tops. MVRV < 1.0 indicates the market is trading below aggregate cost basis — historically the best accumulation zones.

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More Pricing Models Metrics

Monetary Premium

Measures the premium that the market places on Bitcoin above its utility value (transaction volume). A high monetary premium indicates strong store-of-value demand.

STH Realised Price

The average acquisition cost of Short-Term Holders (coins moved within the last 155 days). Represents the cost basis of recent market participants and speculators.

AVIV Ratio

Active Value to Investor Value — a refined version of MVRV that adjusts for active supply and investor behavior. Provides a cleaner signal of market valuation by filtering out dormant and lost coins.

NVT Price

Network Value to Transaction Price — derived from the NVT ratio, this metric estimates a fair value for Bitcoin based on its on-chain transaction volume, similar to using P/E ratios to value stocks.

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