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Pricing Models

LTH Realised Price

What Is LTH Realised Price?

The average acquisition cost of Long-Term Holders (coins held for more than 155 days). Represents the conviction price of patient, long-term investors.

How to Interpret

LTH Realised Price provides deep support during bear markets. Price rarely falls below this level, and when it does, it signals extreme capitulation and generational value.

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More Pricing Models Metrics

Inflation Adjusted Price

Bitcoin's price adjusted for monetary inflation (M2 money supply growth). Shows Bitcoin's real purchasing power value over time by removing the effects of currency debasement.

Euphoria Zone

A composite indicator combining multiple pricing models to identify when Bitcoin has entered an unsustainably euphoric phase. Triggers when multiple independent models simultaneously signal overvaluation.

Power Law

A mathematical model that plots Bitcoin's price on a logarithmic scale over time, creating a corridor of expected prices. Based on the observation that Bitcoin's price follows a power law relationship with time.

True Market Mean

An enhanced version of the Realised Price that adjusts for lost coins and very old UTXOs. Provides a more accurate representation of the active market's aggregate cost basis.

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