True Market Mean
What Is True Market Mean?
An enhanced version of the Realised Price that adjusts for lost coins and very old UTXOs. Provides a more accurate representation of the active market's aggregate cost basis.
How to Interpret
Acts as a more refined support/resistance level compared to the standard Realised Price. Breaking below the True Market Mean in bear markets signals deep-value accumulation zones.
More Pricing Models Metrics
MVRV Ratio
Market Value to Realised Value — the ratio between Bitcoin's market cap and its realised cap. Measures whether Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued relative to the aggregate cost basis of all holders.
Power Law
A mathematical model that plots Bitcoin's price on a logarithmic scale over time, creating a corridor of expected prices. Based on the observation that Bitcoin's price follows a power law relationship with time.
NVT Price
Network Value to Transaction Price — derived from the NVT ratio, this metric estimates a fair value for Bitcoin based on its on-chain transaction volume, similar to using P/E ratios to value stocks.
AVIV Ratio
Active Value to Investor Value — a refined version of MVRV that adjusts for active supply and investor behavior. Provides a cleaner signal of market valuation by filtering out dormant and lost coins.