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Pricing Models

STH Realised Price

What Is STH Realised Price?

The average acquisition cost of Short-Term Holders (coins moved within the last 155 days). Represents the cost basis of recent market participants and speculators.

How to Interpret

STH Realised Price acts as key support in bull markets and resistance in bear markets. When price drops below STH Realised Price, short-term holders are underwater, often triggering capitulation.

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More Pricing Models Metrics

MVRV Ratio

Market Value to Realised Value — the ratio between Bitcoin's market cap and its realised cap. Measures whether Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued relative to the aggregate cost basis of all holders.

True Market Mean

An enhanced version of the Realised Price that adjusts for lost coins and very old UTXOs. Provides a more accurate representation of the active market's aggregate cost basis.

Inflation Adjusted Price

Bitcoin's price adjusted for monetary inflation (M2 money supply growth). Shows Bitcoin's real purchasing power value over time by removing the effects of currency debasement.

AVIV Ratio

Active Value to Investor Value — a refined version of MVRV that adjusts for active supply and investor behavior. Provides a cleaner signal of market valuation by filtering out dormant and lost coins.

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